Japan: Mobile service revenues up 5.1% CAGR through 2026

Japan’s overall mobile service revenue is poised to register a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 5.1% to $72.7 billion (€74.6 billion) in 2021 to $93 billion in 2026, supported by growth in smartphone subscriptions and mobile data service revenues. , according to GlobalData, the data and analytics company.

GlobalData’s Japan Mobile Broadband Forecast Model (Q2-2022) reveals that while mobile voice revenue will continue to decline, mobile data revenue will grow at a CAGR of 7.5% over the next forecast period, mainly due to the growth of mobile Internet subscriptions, and the increasing adoption of 5G services with higher average revenue per user (ARPU).

Aasif Iqbal, Telecom Analyst at GlobalData, commented: “Average monthly mobile data usage is expected to increase significantly from 9.5GB in 2021 to 20.6GB in 2026, driven by growing video consumption. online and social media content on smartphones and data. centered packages. Moreover, the predicted increase in the adoption of 5G services will increase the usage of mobile data over the forecast period.

5G subscriptions in Japan will overtake 4G subscriptions in 2025 and continue to account for 70.1% of total mobile subscriptions in 2026, due to 5G network expansions by major mobile operators including NTT Docomo, KDDI, Softbank and Rakuten.

Iqbal concludes: “NTT Docomo led the mobile services market in Japan in terms of mobile subscription share in 2021, followed by KDDI and Softbank Japan. NTT Docomo will remain the country’s leading postpaid service provider through 2026, given its focus on mobile network expansion and its strong presence in the postpaid segment.

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